The Total, As A Range

The Marginbeta

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The Marginbeta

Sharp projections, honest calibration. Sports modeling with the receipts published alongside every pick.

Sports

Pro Football
College Football
Fantasy
Pro Basketball

Offseason

College Baseball

Picks & Record

McConnell's Calls
Win Totals ’26
Calibration ledger
Open picks
Watching list

About

About The Margin
Journal
All tools
Open data
NFL Game Model
NFL Player Ratings
Margin Rating

Methodology Calibration About

CBB team ratings powered by PEAR Ratings. Projected fields ingested from D1Baseball and Baseball America. NFL play-by-play via nflverse. Weather forecasts via Open-Meteo + ECMWF + GFS ensembles.