The Margin: NFL and college football ratings, projections and calls

Our own NFL and college football projections next to the betting line, with every pick graded in public. New here? Start here

Updated NFL CFB Model record NFL , CFB Calls record NFL , CFB

Recent updatesLatest Oct 24

Oct 24SiteWhere to Watch now outlines the games worth watching: upsets in the making and close games, each with the reason.
Oct 23CFBThe ratings table now shows each team's chance to win out and its playoff odds if it does, for every team.
Oct 23CFBEach team's playoff odds now show what happens if it wins every remaining game, title game included, beside its chance of doing it.
Oct 20NFLEvery team's comps now have a shareable card and their own link, plus a league board of all 32.
Oct 20NBAFinal scores now post minutes after each game ends, and the NBA record strip shows our average miss, against-the-spread, straight-up and totals record against the Vegas close.
Oct 20CFBPlayoff odds now use each conference's real title-game tiebreakers and sites, count title-game results, and include the Pac-12's Week 13 games.

Kickoff times are in your time zone. The gap is the points between our line and Vegas.

College football ratings

College rating: Overall team strength. One point is worth about six percentage points of win probability in a single game.
College title odds: The model's season simulation of the playoff and title game. Not blended with the betting market.