Journal
Week of May 12: Three Production Fixes, One Watching-Tier Signal
The Margin launches with a weekly model audit. This week: a falsified weather edge, three patches in commit 3f1f7e3, an NBA totals band sitting one promotion step away, and a 295-row CBB backlog cleared by a four-line resolver fix.
The Margin·May 13, 2026·6 min read
By the numbers · this week
Refreshed on page loadField snapshot
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CWS top pick
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Bracket sims run
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50K Monte Carlo per source
Selection day
May 25
Real bracket replaces projection
Recent Posts
Updated weeklyReading the May 12 CWS Field Through the Model
A methodology read on D1Baseball's May 12 projected field: 50K Monte Carlo, deterministic bracket walk, rotation strength by starter slot, and the injury deltas the committee won't price.
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May 13