The Marginbeta
This Week · CBB

What to watch this week

College baseball's last weekend before Selection Sunday. SEC weekend series stack up, the conference tournaments start Tuesday, and the bubble teams have three games to make their case.

Featured matchups

Top games by Game Quality Index over the next seven days. Both teams in the NET top 50, tight model spreads, or both.

Game of the Week · #1GQI 9.8 · SEC
Away · SEC
Georgia
41-11 · NET 6
Model
Georgia -0.34
Home win prob 48%
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16
Home · SEC
Auburn
35-16 · NET 5
Georgia is the model side. Toss-up between two NET top-25s. The series turns on the Game 3 bullpen.
Game of the Week · #2GQI 9.6 · SEC
Away · SEC
Mississippi St.
38-14 · NET 8
Model
Texas A&M -0.76
Home win prob 56%
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16
Home · SEC
Texas A&M
37-12 · NET 7
Texas A&M is the model side. Top-25 matchup with a one-percentage-point edge. Watch the line for sharp money.
Game of the Week · #3GQI 9.5 · SEC
Away · SEC
Ole Miss
35-18 · NET 15
Model
Alabama -0.45
Home win prob 54%
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16
Home · SEC
Alabama
35-17 · NET 13
Alabama is the model side. Toss-up between two NET top-25s. The series turns on the Game 3 bullpen.
Game of the Week · #4GQI 9.5 · Big Ten
Away · Big Ten
Southern California
41-12 · NET 12
Model
Oregon -0.41
Home win prob 53%
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16
Home · Big Ten
Oregon
36-14 · NET 20
Oregon is the model side. Toss-up between two NET top-25s. The series turns on the Game 3 bullpen.
Game of the Week · #5GQI 9.3 · SEC
Away · SEC
Tennessee
35-18 · NET 27
Model
Oklahoma -0.31
Home win prob 54%
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16
Home · SEC
Oklahoma
31-18 · NET 18
Oklahoma is the model side. Model has this inside two percentage points either way -- coin flip.

Full slate, this week

Every notable game on the board, ranked by GQI. The week-14 slate is heavy on conference-tournament tune-ups and the last weekend before Selection Sunday.

WhenAwayHomeConfModelHome WPGQI
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Georgia41-11Auburn35-16SECGeorgia -0.3448%9.8
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Mississippi St.38-14Texas A&M37-12SECTexas A&M -0.7656%9.6
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Ole Miss35-18Alabama35-17SECAlabama -0.4554%9.5
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Southern California41-12Oregon36-14Big TenOregon -0.4153%9.5
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Tennessee35-18Oklahoma31-18SECOklahoma -0.3154%9.3
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Arkansas34-18Kentucky30-18SECArkansas -0.7546%9.2
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Miami (FL)35-15Florida St.36-15ACCFlorida St. -1.5761%9.1
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16North Carolina41-9NC State31-19ACCNorth Carolina -1.8139%9.0
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Florida34-18LSU29-24SECFlorida -0.7746%9.0
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16TCU32-18West Virginia35-12Big 12West Virginia -2.1366%8.9
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Clemson30-23Virginia Tech27-22ACCClemson -0.2548%8.9
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Coastal Carolina35-17Louisiana32-20Sun BeltCoastal Carolina -0.7545%8.8
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Georgia Tech42-9Boston College36-17ACCGeorgia Tech -2.9132%8.8
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Kansas St.27-24UCF29-19Big 12UCF -1.0457%8.7
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Notre Dame28-20Pittsburgh29-21ACCPittsburgh -0.656%8.7
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Nebraska38-14Minnesota30-20Big TenNebraska -1.2243%8.7
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Baylor26-25Utah25-22Big 12Utah -0.0850%8.6
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Virginia34-18Louisville28-25ACCVirginia -0.3948%8.6
Thu, May 14Purdue34-15Iowa29-21Big TenPurdue -0.6546%8.6
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Stanford26-23California27-24ACCCalifornia -0.454%8.6
Fri, May 15 – Sat, May 16Iowa29-21Purdue34-15Big TenPurdue -0.6554%8.6
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Jacksonville St.41-11DBU29-23Conference USAJacksonville St. -0.7947%8.5
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Kansas37-15BYU26-25Big 12Kansas -2.3635%8.4
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Missouri St.30-17Kennesaw St.24-24Conference USAMissouri St. -0.7845%8.3
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Arkansas St.28-22South Alabama31-20Sun BeltSouth Alabama -1.258%8.1
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16East Carolina30-21Fla. Atlantic28-24AmericanEast Carolina -0.4247%8.0
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Mercer40-13ETSU30-19SouthernMercer -0.8346%8.0
Thu, May 14 – Fri, May 15California Baptist40-13UC Davis26-25--California Baptist -0.5847%8.0
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Campbell36-15UNCW28-23Coastal AthleticCampbell -0.3250%7.8
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Creighton28-22Xavier25-27Big EastXavier -0.5754%7.8
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Illinois26-23Indiana21-30Big TenIndiana -0.0952%7.6
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Tarleton St.33-17Sacramento St.24-29Western AthleticSacramento St. -0.0152%7.5
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Wofford33-18Samford26-23SouthernSamford -0.4653%7.4
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Cal St. Fullerton22-28UC San Diego22-25Big WestUC San Diego -0.8657%7.4
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Southeast Mo. St.35-16Little Rock30-22Ohio ValleySoutheast Mo. St. -0.7545%7.3
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16App State29-20Georgia St.24-27Sun BeltApp State -0.2750%7.3
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16San Diego St.32-20UNLV28-23Mountain WestSan Diego St. -0.1951%7.2
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Rutgers24-27Northwestern20-28Big TenNorthwestern -0.0351%7.1
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16FGCU33-18Jacksonville27-23ASUNFGCU -0.5746%7.0
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Troy27-26ULM26-26Sun BeltTroy -1.541%6.9
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Abilene Christian25-26Utah Tech30-22Western AthleticUtah Tech -0.2453%6.8
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Illinois St.32-20Michigan St.20-30--Michigan St. -1.158%6.8
Thu, May 14Northwestern St.25-24UTRGV26-27--UTRGV -0.7653%6.7
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16NIU31-14Western Mich.23-23Mid-AmericanNIU -0.4349%6.6
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16The Citadel27-24VMI28-23SouthernThe Citadel -1.641%6.4
Thu, May 14McNeese28-23Nicholls25-24--McNeese -1.0143%6.3
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Grand Canyon19-29Nevada23-24Mountain WestNevada -0.9858%6.2
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Lipscomb24-23Central Ark.29-23ASUNCentral Ark. -1.0558%5.9
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Austin Peay24-27North Ala.25-26ASUNAustin Peay -0.2548%5.7
Thu, May 14 – Sat, May 16Murray St.29-24Evansville19-29Missouri ValleyMurray St. -0.8745%5.6
Source: pearatings.com schedule endpoint × PEAR model lines × NET ranks· Updated 2026-05-14· n = 67 games over 7 days