Your league, your rankings.
CUSTOM SCORING · CROSS-POSITIONAL VBD · FLOOR–CEILING BANDS
Set your exact scoring and roster, and every projection, distribution band, and value-over-replacement rank recomputes instantly — in your browser, against your league. Move the PPR dial and watch the receivers re-sort. Methodology and the distribution philosophy live in /methodology.
How these are built and how they backtest →In-season? Weekly start/sit rankings →
Scoring & leagueFull PPR · 12-team · 1QB 2RB 2WR 1TE 1FLEXcustomize
Scoring
Per-game bonuses
points per qualifying game · default offLeague
Draft Mode
Mark players as they go off the board. The panel below recomputes VBD over what's left and tells you who to take given your roster and the run. This captures roster discipline — value, need, timing — it does not out-pick the field; the projection underneath is still the consensus.
| # | Player | Pos | Market | Proj | Floor — Ceiling | VBD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenBUF | QBT1 | fair | 363.0 | 205 505 | +145.0 |
| 2 | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | WRT1 | fair | 323.0 | 226 457 | +130.5 |
| 3 | Lamar JacksonBAL | QBT2 | fair | 346.0 | 219 458 | +128.0 |
| 4 | Jalen HurtsPHI | QBT2 | fairmodel QB6▼3 | 336.0 | 205 463 | +118.0 |
| 5 | Jayden DanielsWAS | QBT2 | fair | 326.0 | 219 433 | +108.0 |
| 6 | Joe BurrowCIN | QBT2 | fair | 324.0 | 178 471 | +106.0 |
| 7 | Justin JeffersonMIN | WRT2 | fair | 293.0 | 219 368 | +100.5 |
| 8 | CeeDee LambDAL | WRT2 | fair | 291.0 | 184 399 | +98.5 |
| 9 | Patrick MahomesKC | QBT2 | fair | 314.0 | 213 424 | +96.0 |
| 10 | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | WRT2 | fair | 286.0 | 186 408 | +93.5 |
| 11 | Brock BowersLV | TET1 | fair | 241.0 | 137 304 | +93.0 |
| 12 | Christian McCaffreySF | RBT1 | ▲ Value | 319.0 | 191 395 | +92.0 |
| 13 | Bijan RobinsonATL | RBT1 | fair | 314.0 | 228 400 | +87.0 |
| 14 | Tyreek HillMIA | WRT2 | fair | 274.0 | 167 360 | +81.5 |
| 15 | Trey McBrideARI | TET1 | fair | 224.0 | 126 312 | +76.0 |
| 16 | Saquon BarkleyPHI | RBT1 | fair | 292.0 | 193 394 | +65.0 |
| 17 | Sam LaPortaDET | TET1 | fair | 211.0 | 124 288 | +63.0 |
| 18 | Malik NabersNYG | WRT2 | fair | 253.5 | 145 330 | +61.0 |
| 19 | Jahmyr GibbsDET | RBT1 | fair | 287.0 | 180 378 | +60.0 |
| 20 | Drake LondonATL | WRT2 | fair | 240.5 | 136 320 | +48.0 |
| 21 | Travis KelceKC | TET1 | no ADP | 192.0 | 133 256 | +44.0 |
| 22 | Mark AndrewsBAL | TET1 | fair | 178.0 | 116 230 | +30.0 |
| 23 | Derrick HenryBAL | RBT2 | fair | 255.0 | 187 370 | +28.0 |
| 24 | Ashton JeantyLVrookie | RBT2 | fair | 238.0 | 169 344 | +11.0 |
| 25 | Josh JacobsGB | RBT2 | fair | 227.0 | 159 279 | +0.0 |
| 26 | Tetairoa McMillanCARrookie | WRT3 | fair | 192.5 | 137 253 | +0.0 |
| 27 | Tyler WarrenINDrookie | TET2 | no ADP | 148.0 | 98 185 | +0.0 |
| 28 | Deshaun WatsonCLElimited | QBT3 | no ADP | 218.0 | 147 303 | +0.0 |
Reference & methodology
VBD subtracts each position's replacement-level points (the Nth startable player, FLEX demand allocated jointly across RB/WR/TE). In a 1-QB league replacement is a mid-tier starter, so elite QBs carry small VBD — that's correct, not a bug.
How reliably each position's preseason rank predicts its actual finish, from a leakage-clean 2019–2024 backtest (within-position rank correlation). QB and WR rankings are the most trustworthy; TE is the least. This is risk information, not a value signal — a high-confidence position is not more likely to beat its projection, so we do not reorder the board by it. Use it to judge how much to trust a ranking and weigh a player's own range.
How to draft with this board
VBD is how you draft, consensus is what you draft on, ADP is what you draft against. The edge here is roster discipline — never reach, always grab value, time the positional cliffs — not out-picking the field.
- 1. Rank by VBD for your league (the default Our Blend order). VBD is value over the last startable player at each position, for your exact roster and scoring. That is why an elite TE can top a higher-scoring QB in a 1-QB league. This is the validated method — in clean draft simulations it beats drafting by raw projected points by roughly 98 points a season.
- 2. The number is the consensus, and that is on purpose. We do not claim to out-project the field — clean tests show no projection ranking beats the market consensus. Our job is to wrap that consensus in the things that actually win drafts: your- league value, honest floor–ceiling ranges, and timing.
- 3. Draft against ADP — take Value, skip Reaches. The ▲ Value / Fair / ▼ Reach chip compares our VBD value to where the market is drafting him. Take the Value players falling past their ADP; don't burn a pick reaching for someone you can still get a round later.
- 4. Use tiers to time it. Tiers group players of similar value. When a tier is about to break — a real drop-off to the next group — that is when reaching slightly is justified: grab the last man before the cliff rather than the first name in the tier below.
We don't promise better players than your league-mates — no projection beats the market. We promise you draft your roster optimally, never overpay, and pounce on value. That discipline is the edge.
What the columns mean
- # · Rank
- Overall rank under the current source (Our Blend or Market ADP) and your exact scoring & league settings. Change the PPR dial, teams, or starter slots and the order re-sorts.
- Player · Pos · team
- Player name, the team logo + abbreviation, and a colored position badge (QB/RB/WR/TE). A small rookie or limited pill means the player has no standalone model line and is ranked on consensus only — rookie for a true rookie with no NFL history yet, limited for a veteran with thin recent history.
- Tier label (e.g. RB T3)
- Tiers group players of similar projected value within a position. The actionable move is to take the last player in a tier before it breaks — the next tier is a real drop-off. Recomputed for your scoring. Filter to a single position (in Our Blend order) and a thin divider marks each tier break; the per-row T# label always shows (tiers are a property of the projection, not the sort or the filter).
- Proj
- Projected season fantasy points — the consensus expected total, scored under your settings. This is the exact number the board ranks by, so Proj, rank, tier, and VBD always agree. The floor/ceiling bar shows the full distribution around it.
- Floor — Ceiling
- The floor (p10) to ceiling (p90) range from our calibrated simulations, scored under your settings; the tick marks the projection. It's the range if he plays roughly a full season — so a steady star reads tight and a genuine boom/bust player reads wide. Availability risk is pulled OUT of the band into the injury risk flag, so a fragile back (McCaffrey) shows a normal band plus an explicit durability flag instead of a near-zero floor.
- Weekly boom/bust
- Distinct from the season band: this rates his week-to-week consistency from his own game log, scored under your settings — steady scores about the same every week, swingy alternates spikes and duds (hover for his boom / bust week rates). Two players with the same projection can draft very differently — steady for a safe floor, swingy for tournament upside. Consistency info; it does not change the ranking.
- VBD
- Value over replacement: projected points minus the last startable player at that position for your league size and roster (the replacement levels are shown just above the table). This is the cross-positional draft value, not raw points — it's why elite QBs can carry small VBD in a 1-QB league.
- Market (ADP)
- The chip in this column compares our rank to average draft position — where the field is actually drafting him. (In Market (ADP) source the whole table is ordered by ADP.)
- Divergence chip
- How our rank lines up against the market's ADP at the player's position (e.g. our TE1 vs the market's TE4), so the verdict always matches the position labels. The threshold is 3 positional spots:
- ▲ Value — we rank him higher at his position than the market does (≥ 3 spots), so he tends to fall past his ADP.
- ▼ Reach — the market ranks him higher at his position than we do (≥ 3 spots) — you'd be reaching to take him at his ADP.
- Fair — we and the market rank him at about the same spot at his position.
- no ADP — undrafted / no market data to compare.
- Source toggle (above)
- Which projection drives the table order:
- Our Blend (recommended) — Preseason expert consensus with our calibrated floor–ceiling range.
- Market (ADP) — Where the field is actually drafting. The market consensus on draft order.
Full methodology: how these are built and how they backtest →
Rank is by value over replacement (VBD), recomputed on your exact scoring and roster. Proj is the consensus expected total — the same number the rank, tier, and VBD are built on. The floor–ceiling band reads p10–p90 off the correlated-sample distribution scored under your settings, so it widens for boom/bust players and narrows for steady ones. Settings are stored in the URL (shareable) and this browser — they never leave your device.